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Serie A

•

Round 9

AC Milan

AC Milan

Finished

2 : 4

(HT 2 - 1)

28th Oct 2026, 13:30

Bologna

Bologna

LOSS
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AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction: Betting Tips, Lineups & AI Predictions

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon20 Oct 2026

Milan remain unbeaten after eight league matches and carry the stronger points and scoring record, making the home win the sensible lean.

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Prediction

AC Milan remain my pick to beat Bologna, with the published 2-1 score lean still the best fit. Milan are unbeaten through eight league matches, while Bologna have lost four of eight. The late lineup feed lists 22 starters but assigns every player to an unknown team, so it offers no clear reason to alter the view. Milan have drifted slightly from 1.62 to 1.74, which is worth unpacking.

The original Milan win call still holds up. They sit fifth with 18 points from eight matches, unbeaten at 5-3-0, and have scored 16 goals while conceding seven. Bologna are 13th on eight points, with two wins, two draws and four losses; their eight goals scored and 10 conceded underline the gap between the sides so far. Milan's recent five bring three wins and two draws, including a 2-0 victory at Udinese and a 3-2 win over Atalanta. Bologna have won two, drawn one and lost two across the same stretch, although the 2-0 success at Cagliari shows they can carry a threat away from home.

The lineup update does not force a revision. It contains 22 players marked as starters, but every entry is labelled unknown-team rather than Milan or Bologna, so there is no reliable team-specific confirmation to use against the previous prediction. That means the published medium-confidence Milan lean should stand rather than being reshaped around uncertain assignments.

The main late change is in the prices. Milan's win price has moved from 1.62 to 1.74, while both teams to score has gone from 1.80 to 1.95 and Over 2.5 Goals from 1.82 to 2.06. Those are drifts, so the market is a little less convinced by the original home-and-goals angle, but none is remotely close to a reversal. Milan are still clear favourites, and the current numbers remain consistent with a competitive home win rather than a one-sided result. For me, 2-1 Milan is still the cleanest read.

AC Milan to win

Key reasons

  • Milan are unbeaten through seven Serie A matches, collecting 15 points from four wins and three draws.
  • Milan have scored 14 league goals in seven games, while Bologna have managed six and conceded 10.
  • Recent form favours Milan, who are unbeaten in five matches, while Bologna have lost two of their last five.

Risk factors

  • Milan have drawn three of their last five matches, so their superiority has not always translated into a clean win.
  • Bologna scored in four of their last five games, including away wins at Lecce, giving them a credible route to contribute.
AC Milan

AC Milan

2 : 1

Bologna

Bologna
AC Milan to win
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
WilliamHill
Over 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Do you agree with my prediction?
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AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Home
    21
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Home
    21

What Is Your Prediction?

AC Milan
Bologna

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AC Milan to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Bologna to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Serie A Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
InterInter
9
8
1
0
25
10
+15
25
2
LazioLazio
9
8
1
0
22
7
+15
25
3
RomaRoma
9
6
3
0
23
8
+15
21
4
ComoComo
9
6
2
1
17
8
+9
20
5
AC MilanAC Milan
9
5
3
1
18
11
+7
18
6
NapoliNapoli
9
4
2
3
17
11
+6
14
7
FrosinoneFrosinone
8
4
2
2
17
13
+4
14
8
JuventusJuventus
9
4
2
3
11
10
+1
14
9
TorinoTorino
9
4
1
4
14
14
0
13
10
CagliariCagliari
9
4
1
4
8
13
-5
13
11
BolognaBologna
9
3
2
4
12
12
0
11
12
AtalantaAtalanta
8
3
1
4
14
15
-1
10
13
GenoaGenoa
9
3
1
5
8
13
-5
10
14
LecceLecce
8
3
0
5
9
14
-5
9
15
SassuoloSassuolo
9
2
2
5
14
22
-8
8
16
MonzaMonza
9
2
1
6
16
22
-6
7
17
UdineseUdinese
9
1
2
6
9
18
-9
5
18
ParmaParma
9
1
2
6
5
15
-10
5
19
FiorentinaFiorentina
8
1
1
6
9
19
-10
4
20
VeneziaVenezia
9
1
0
8
6
19
-13
3

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

18

2.0

Goals Conceded

11

1.2

Goals difference

+7

Avg. goals per match

3.2

Last 5 Matches

Serie ASerie A

FT, 25 Oct 2026

UdineseUdinese

0

AC MilanAC Milan

2

Serie ASerie A

FT, 18 Oct 2026

AC MilanAC Milan

3

AtalantaAtalanta

2

Serie ASerie A

FT, 11 Oct 2026

SassuoloSassuolo

1

AC MilanAC Milan

1

Serie ASerie A

FT, 20 Sept 2026

AC MilanAC Milan

3

LecceLecce

0

Serie ASerie A

FT, 12 Sept 2026

LazioLazio

2

AC MilanAC Milan

2

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

AC Milan

AC Milan

Confirmed: 4-2-3-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Mike Maignan

🛡️Back line:

Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlović, Pervis Estupiñán

⚙️ Midfield:

Yunus Musah, Ardon Jashari, Omari Hutchinson, Alphadjo Cissè, Davide Bartesaghi

⚡ Attack:

Gonçalo Ramos

Bologna

Bologna

Confirmed: 3-4-3

🧤Goalkeeper:

Lukasz Skorupski

🛡️Back line:

Matteo Darmian, Nicolò Casale, Arthur Theate

⚙️ Midfield:

Nadir Zortea, Lewis Ferguson, Tommaso Pobega, Rahim Alhassane

⚡ Attack:

Federico Bernardeschi, Jens Odgaard, Samuel Mbangula

Best Odds

AC Milan to win
Marathonbet
Draw
Marathonbet
Bologna to win
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
WilliamHill
Both teams to score: No
WilliamHill

What these Odds Say

👉

Milan have drifted from 1.62 to 1.74, signalling slightly weaker support but leaving them clear favourites rather than indicating a market reversal.

👉

Both teams to score: Yes has moved from 1.80 to 1.95, suggesting reduced confidence in both sides finding the net despite Bologna's recent scoring.

👉

Over 2.5 Goals has drifted from 1.82 to 2.06, so the market is less enthusiastic about goals, though the 2-1 projection remains viable.

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