

Serie A
•Round 2

Atalanta
Finished
1 : 0
(HT 0 - 0)
31st Aug 2026, 14:45

Bologna
Atalanta to win


Author
Fact checker Daniela Stoeva
Atalanta remain the narrow home-win lean, with the price easing from 1.86 to 1.96 but still keeping them clear favourites.
Atalanta remain my pick to edge Bologna 2-1 at the Gewiss Stadium. The home price has eased from 1.86 to 1.96, so the market is offering slightly more compensation without reversing its clear home preference. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals have also drifted, which keeps the goal-friendly angle in play. The late pricing is worth unpacking.
The original Atalanta lean stands. They opened the league season with a 2-1 win over Sassuolo, while Bologna began with a 1-0 defeat to Lazio, and the 1X2 market still makes the hosts the most likely winner. Atalanta's best available price has moved from 1.86 at publication to 1.96, which is a modest drift rather than a reversal of the market view. It slightly improves the return for a home-win backer, but it also underlines that this is a competitive fixture rather than a price to treat as routine.
The lineup feed contains named starters, but the supplied mapping assigns every player to an unknown team. That makes it unsuitable for reliable team-specific lineup analysis, so there is no confirmed-team selection issue strong enough to alter the published call. The existing risks still matter: Bologna won 1-0 in Bergamo in the most recent listed meeting, while their last five listed results include wins over Atalanta and Napoli as well as a 3-3 draw with Inter.
The supporting markets have become more attractive numerically. Both teams to score has moved from 1.66 to 1.75, while over 2.5 goals has shifted from 1.78 to 1.93. Those drifts indicate slightly less market confidence in an open game, although neither move contradicts the 2-1 score lean. Both sides have scored in three of their last five listed matches, and recent results include several higher-scoring outcomes. Atalanta to win remains the principal angle, with BTTS Yes and over 2.5 goals retained as lower-conviction, scoreline-consistent alternatives.
Atalanta to win

Atalanta
2 : 1
Bologna




Match already started.
This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.


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Goals Scored
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.5
Goals difference
+2
Avg. goals per match
2.0
FT, 23 Aug 2026
2
1
FT, 22 May 2026
1
1
FT, 17 May 2026
0
1
FT, 10 May 2026
2
3
FT, 2 May 2026
0
0
Based on recent previews and team reports.

Atalanta
Confirmed: 4-3-3
🧤Goalkeeper:
Marco Carnesecchi
🛡️Back line:
Davide Zappacosta, Odilon Kossounou, Giorgio Scalvini, Sead Kolasinac
⚙️ Midfield:
Mario Pašalić, Gianluca Gaetano, Éderson
⚡ Attack:
Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Giacomo Raspadori

Bologna
Confirmed: 4-2-3-1
🧤Goalkeeper:
Lukasz Skorupski
🛡️Back line:
Emil Holm, Eivind Helland, Torbjørn Heggem, Rahim Alhassane
⚙️ Midfield:
Tommaso Pobega, Lewis Ferguson, Federico Bernardeschi, Jens Odgaard, Nicolò Cambiaghi
⚡ Attack:
Roberto Piccoli







👉
Atalanta have drifted from 1.86 to 1.96, implying slightly weaker home support but no meaningful challenge to their favourite status.
👉
Both teams to score: Yes has eased from 1.66 to 1.75, suggesting a little less certainty about goals at both ends.
👉
Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.78 to 1.93, giving backers a better price while signalling reduced market confidence in three goals.