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La Liga

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Round 8

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

Finished

1 : 2

(HT 1 - 1)

10th Oct 2026, 10:15

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

WIN
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Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Best Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon05 Oct 2026

Atlético remain the likelier winners after four victories in five, with their away price broadly stable from 1.87 to 1.84.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

I'm sticking with Atlético Madrid to win, with the original 1-2 score lean still the most convincing fit. The supplied lineup feed lists the expected starters and does not show a stated decisive absence that changes the published view. Atlético's win price has only edged from 1.87 to 1.84, while the goals markets have softened a little. Here's what matters before kickoff.

The published Atlético Madrid win selection still holds up. Four wins in their last five league matches, with 12 goals scored across that sequence, remains the strongest supplied form indicator. Alavés are not an easy opponent, though: they sit sixth after seven games on 11 points, have conceded only six times, and their recent home wins over Osasuna and Villarreal make the 1-2 score lean more believable than a comfortable away result.

Lineup confirmation does not provide a reason to reverse the call. The supplied starter list includes established groups for both sides, but there is no stated decisive absence tied to the original Atlético selection. That matters because this is an update, not a fresh prediction: normal personnel confirmation alone should not outweigh the form case already behind the away side.

The market has barely changed on the main result. Atlético have moved from 1.87 to 1.84, a small shortening that keeps them clear favourites without adding major new conviction. The draw has moved from 3.74 to 3.82 and Alavés from 4.20 to 4.45, which slightly reinforces the existing away lean. There is a little more caution around goals, however. Both teams to score has shifted from 1.75 to 1.80, while Over 2.5 has moved from 1.85 to 1.96. Those are not dramatic moves, but they suggest reduced market certainty around an open game. Atlético to win remains the main play, with the scoring angles secondary rather than essential.

Atlético Madrid to win

Key reasons

  • Atlético Madrid have won four of their last five La Liga matches, scoring 12 goals across that run.
  • Alavés have taken 11 points from seven matches and have conceded only six league goals so far.
  • The 1X2 market makes Atlético Madrid the clear favourite at a best price of 1.87.

Risk factors

  • Alavés beat Osasuna 5-2 and Villarreal 1-0 in two of their last three home matches.
  • Atlético Madrid's recent away results include a 3-0 defeat at Athletic Club.
Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

1 : 2

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid to win
bwin
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Do you agree with my prediction?
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AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Away
    12
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Away
    12

What Is Your Prediction?

Deportivo Alavés
Atlético Madrid

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See what others think 👇
Deportivo Alavés to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Atlético Madrid to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

La Liga Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
8
8
0
0
34
7
+27
24
2
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
8
6
1
1
18
8
+10
19
3
Real BetisReal Betis
7
5
1
1
9
7
+2
16
4
Real MadridReal Madrid
7
5
0
2
18
8
+10
15
5
SevillaSevilla
7
4
1
2
10
9
+1
13
6
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
8
3
2
3
12
8
+4
11
7
Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
7
2
4
1
10
8
+2
10
8
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
7
3
1
3
9
13
-4
10
9
VillarrealVillarreal
7
2
2
3
13
12
+1
8
10
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
6
2
2
2
7
6
+1
8
11
EspanyolEspanyol
8
2
2
4
11
11
0
8
12
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
7
2
2
3
11
16
-5
8
13
GetafeGetafe
8
2
2
4
4
10
-6
8
14
OsasunaOsasuna
7
2
2
3
6
13
-7
8
15
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
7
1
4
2
8
6
+2
7
16
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
7
2
1
4
11
21
-10
7
17
LevanteLevante
6
1
2
3
8
12
-4
5
18
ElcheElche
7
1
2
4
11
17
-6
5
19
MálagaMálaga
8
0
4
4
4
13
-9
4
20
ValenciaValencia
7
1
1
5
4
13
-9
4

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

12

1.5

Goals Conceded

8

1.0

Goals difference

+4

Avg. goals per match

2.5

Last 5 Matches

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 19 Sept 2026

Athletic ClubAthletic Club

0

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés

0

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 15 Sept 2026

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés

0

ValenciaValencia

1

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 12 Sept 2026

Racing SantanderRacing Santander

2

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés

1

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 6 Sept 2026

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés

5

OsasunaOsasuna

2

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 28 Aug 2026

Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés

1

VillarrealVillarreal

0

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

Confirmed: 3-5-2

🧤Goalkeeper:

Antonio Sivera

🛡️Back line:

Nahuel Tenaglia, Nicolás Valentini, Jonny Otto

⚙️ Midfield:

Ángel Pérez, Denis Suárez, Antonio Blanco, Pablo Ibáñez, Abde Rebbach

⚡ Attack:

Toni Martínez, Lucas Boyé

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

Confirmed: 4-2-3-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Jan Oblak

🛡️Back line:

Marcos Llorente, Cristian Romero, Robin Le Normand, Alejandro Grimaldo

⚙️ Midfield:

Koke, Johnny Cardoso, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Ademola Lookman

⚡ Attack:

Jonathan David

Key Battles

⚔️Attack vs defence

Mariano Díaz and Toni Martínez lead Alavés' listed forward line against Atlético starters Cristian Romero and Dávid Hancko, shaping the home side's route to a goal.,Midfield : Antonio Blanco, Pablo Ibáñez and Denis Suárez are listed centrally for Alavés, opposite Johnny Cardoso and Álex Baena in Atlético's supplied starting group.,Flanks: Abde Rebbach and Jonny Otto feature in Alavés' listed wide unit, with Alejandro Grimaldo and Marcos Llorente named for Atlético on the opposing side.

Best Odds

Deportivo Alavés to win
Marathonbet
Draw
bet365
Atlético Madrid to win
bwin
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Both teams to score: No
22Bet

What these Odds Say

👉

Atlético have shortened slightly from 1.87 to 1.84, indicating modest extra support but pricing that is broadly stable overall.

👉

The draw has drifted from 3.74 to 3.82 and Alavés from 4.20 to 4.45, marginally strengthening the market's away preference.

👉

Both teams to score Yes has moved from 1.75 to 1.80 and Over 2.5 from 1.85 to 1.96, implying slightly weaker confidence in goals.

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