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Bundesliga

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Round 5

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

Finished

2 : 2

(HT 1 - 0)

10th Oct 2026, 09:30

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München

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FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München Betting Tips, Odds & Expert Predictions

Daniela Stoeva

Author

Daniela StoevaVerified author

Fact checker Janne Kouva

Calendar icon05 Oct 2026

Bayern have shortened marginally from 1.23 to 1.21, with their unbeaten start and 14 goals in four games sustaining the away-win case.

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Prediction

Bayern remain the prediction at the WWK Arena, and the market has only nudged them from 1.23 to 1.21. The supplied confirmed starters include Harry Kane, Joshua Kimmich and Manuel Neuer for Bayern, while Augsburg list Alexis Claude-Maurice, Michael Gregoritsch and Finn Dahmen. With both teams arriving off productive starts, the main question is whether Augsburg can make Bayern's short price work hard. Read on.

The existing Bayern-win view holds. Bayern are unbeaten through four Bundesliga games, with 14 scored and only two conceded, while Augsburg have taken seven points and scored 11 in the same period. That is why the away side remain clear favourites, but Augsburg's output keeps the 1-3 score lean and both-teams-to-score angle more credible than a straightforward shutout call. Augsburg have already produced a 3-0 win over Schalke, a 4-1 win at Eintracht Frankfurt and a 2-2 draw with Bayer Leverkusen, so there is enough evidence here to respect their attacking contribution.

The supplied confirmed starters do not alter that read. Bayern's listed XI includes Neuer, Upamecano, Tah, Kimmich, Pavlovic, Kane, Díaz, Olise and Davies, while Augsburg's group includes Dahmen, Matsima, Gouweleeuw, Massengo, Claude-Maurice and Gregoritsch. There is no clear late absence within those supplied starters that warrants moving away from the published pick.

The odds movement is also modest rather than decisive. Bayern's away price has shortened from 1.23 to 1.21, indicating slight extra support but not a fundamental repricing. Both teams to score remains 1.44, while over 2.5 goals stays 1.15; those stable goal prices continue to signal an expectation of an open match. Bayern are still the likelier winners, but 1.21 is a short return for a fixture against an Augsburg side that has been scoring freely. The strongest match read remains Bayern to win, with Augsburg capable of adding to the total.

FC Bayern München to win

Key reasons

  • Bayern are unbeaten after four league matches, with 14 goals scored and only two conceded.
  • Augsburg have started brightly in fourth place with 11 goals in four matches, including recent scores of four and three.
  • The 1X2 prices make Bayern a clear away favourite, while the goal and BTTS markets anticipate an open game.

Risk factors

  • Augsburg have already beaten Schalke 3-0 and scored four away at Eintracht Frankfurt this season.
  • Bayern's recent 0-0 draw at Schalke shows that their attack is not guaranteed to click in every away fixture.
FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

1 : 3

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München to win
bwin
Both teams to score: Yes
WilliamHill
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
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AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Away
    13
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Away
    13

What Is Your Prediction?

FC Augsburg
FC Bayern München

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Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
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Bundesliga Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
5
4
1
0
11
4
+7
13
2
FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München
5
3
2
0
16
4
+12
11
3
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
4
3
1
0
12
3
+9
10
4
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
5
3
1
1
14
8
+6
10
5
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
5
3
0
2
15
5
+10
9
6
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
5
2
2
1
13
8
+5
8
7
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
5
2
2
1
10
10
0
8
8
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
5
2
1
2
13
10
+3
7
9
ElversbergElversberg
5
2
1
2
8
8
0
7
10
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
5
2
0
3
8
9
-1
6
11
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
5
2
0
3
5
15
-10
6
12
Schalke 04Schalke 04
4
1
2
1
3
4
-1
5
13
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
5
1
2
2
9
16
-7
5
14
FC KölnFC Köln
4
1
1
2
6
9
-3
4
15
PaderbornPaderborn
5
1
1
3
3
7
-4
4
16
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
5
1
1
3
5
17
-12
4
17
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
5
1
0
4
9
13
-4
3
18
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
4
0
0
4
6
16
-10
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

13

2.6

Goals Conceded

8

1.6

Goals difference

+5

Avg. goals per match

4.2

Last 5 Matches

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 19 Sept 2026

Werder BremenWerder Bremen

3

FC AugsburgFC Augsburg

2

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 12 Sept 2026

FC AugsburgFC Augsburg

2

Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen

2

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 6 Sept 2026

Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt

1

FC AugsburgFC Augsburg

4

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 30 Aug 2026

FC AugsburgFC Augsburg

3

Schalke 04Schalke 04

0

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 16 May 2026

FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin

4

FC AugsburgFC Augsburg

0

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

Confirmed: 3-4-2-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Finn Dahmen

🛡️Back line:

Juma Bah, Chrislain Matsima, Calvin Brackelmann

⚙️ Midfield:

Young-woo Seol, Han-Noah Massengo, Fabian Rieder, Hennes Behrens

⚡ Attack:

Robin Fellhauer, Arijon Ibrahimović, Rodrigo Ribeiro

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München

Confirmed: 4-2-3-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Manuel Neuer

🛡️Back line:

Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Alphonso Davies

⚙️ Midfield:

Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Ismael Saibari, Luis Díaz

⚡ Attack:

Harry Kane

Key Battles

⚔️Attack vs defence

Harry Kane leads Bayern's listed attack against Augsburg starters Chrislain Matsima, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw and Calvin Brackelmann, making the defensive unit's handling of him central.,Midfield : Joshua Kimmich and Aleksandar Pavlovic are listed for Bayern against Han-Noah Massengo, Robin Fellhauer and Fabian Rieder, with control of central possession likely important.,Flanks: Alphonso Davies and Luis Díaz are listed on Bayern's left, while Marius Wolf and Hennes Behrens give Augsburg available starters to contest wide areas.

Best Odds

FC Augsburg to win
Dafabet
Draw
Dafabet
FC Bayern München to win
bwin
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
bet365
Both teams to score: Yes
WilliamHill
Both teams to score: No
Marathonbet

What these Odds Say

👉

Bayern have shortened slightly from 1.23 to 1.21, signalling marginally stronger support, though the move is too small to alter the established away-win view.

👉

Both teams to score: Yes remains 1.44 from the published price, so pricing is broadly stable and continues to anticipate a credible Augsburg scoring threat.

👉

Over 2.5 goals remains 1.15 from the previous quote, indicating stable, very strong market expectation that this match produces at least three goals.

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