

Serie A
•Round 8

Napoli
Finished
3 : 3
(HT 1 - 0)
24th Oct 2026, 12:00

Roma
Roma to win


Author
Fact checker Janne Kouva
Roma remain the away-win lean after an unbeaten seven-match start, although the current 1X2 market still points to a closely priced contest.
Roma to win remains my prediction for this Serie A meeting, with a 1-2 scoreline still the most coherent lean. Roma are unbeaten through seven games, while Napoli have been less consistent despite recent home wins. No usable confirmed lineups are supplied, and the late prices show only modest movement rather than a reason to rethink the call. Here's what still supports the away side.
The original Roma lean still holds. Their seven-game league record is the strongest piece of evidence available: five wins, two draws, 16 goals scored and only three conceded. The supplied recent results also show they can carry that form away from home, notably the 2-0 win at Torino, while draws with Como and Inter underline that they have avoided defeat even when not winning. Napoli sit 10th on 10 points after three losses in seven, and their latest listed result was a 1-0 defeat at Venezia.
Napoli are not a straightforward fade, though. They have won their last two supplied home matches, beating Frosinone 3-0 and Bologna 1-0. That is the clearest reason to keep the confidence at medium rather than push the away case harder. Their recent five-game run also includes seven goals scored, which leaves room for Napoli to contribute in a narrow Roma win and keeps BTTS Yes and over 2.5 goals aligned with the 1-2 score lean.
There are no usable confirmed lineups in the supplied data, so there is no late personnel evidence strong enough to alter the published view. The odds movement is also limited: Roma's published 2.55 price has moved out to a current best 2.76, a mild drift rather than a dramatic reversal. BTTS Yes is virtually unchanged from 1.67 to 1.66, while over 2.5 has edged from 1.90 to 1.88. The market remains tight, but Roma's stronger overall profile keeps them as the reasonable away-win lean.
Roma to win

Napoli
1 : 2
Roma




Match already started.
This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

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Goals Scored
1.6
Goals Conceded
1.3
Goals difference
+3
Avg. goals per match
2.9
FT, 17 Oct 2026
1
0
FT, 10 Oct 2026
3
0
FT, 20 Sept 2026
1
1
FT, 13 Sept 2026
1
0
FT, 5 Sept 2026
3
2
Based on recent previews and team reports.

Napoli
Confirmed: 4-3-3
🧤Goalkeeper:
Alex Meret
🛡️Back line:
Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Rafa Marín, Benoît Badiashile, Mathías Olivera
⚙️ Midfield:
Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, Scott McTominay
⚡ Attack:
Matteo Politano, Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang

Roma
Confirmed: 3-5-2
🧤Goalkeeper:
Pierluigi Gollini
🛡️Back line:
Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka, Mario Hermoso
⚙️ Midfield:
Devyne Rensch, Marten de Roon, Bryan Cristante, Niccolò Pisilli, Wesley
⚡ Attack:
Matías Soulé, Donyell Malen







👉
Roma have drifted from 2.55 to a current best 2.76, signalling slightly weaker support but not a meaningful reversal of the away-side view.
👉
BTTS Yes is broadly stable from 1.67 to 1.66, suggesting the market still expects both attacks to have a credible route to scoring.
👉
Over 2.5 goals has shortened marginally from 1.90 to 1.88, indicating only modest support for a game reaching at least three goals.