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Premier League

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Round 1

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Finished

2 : 2

(HT 1 - 0)

23rd Aug 2026, 11:30

Liverpool

Liverpool

LOSS
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Newcastle United vs Liverpool Best Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds

Daniela Stoeva

Author

Daniela StoevaVerified author

Fact checker Janne Kouva

Calendar icon21 Aug 2026

Liverpool remain the preferred side, although their price has eased from 1.95 to 2.20 and leaves more room for Newcastle resistance.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Liverpool remain the lean for a 1-2 win at St. James' Park, with the supplied confirmed starters adding attacking options on both sides. The away price has drifted from 1.95 to 2.20, while BTTS Yes has moved from 1.44 to 1.83, so the market is allowing more uncertainty than before. The original away-win view still holds, but the route there looks competitive.

The original Liverpool win lean remains intact, but the late prices make the position less straightforward. Liverpool have moved from 1.95 to 2.20 in the match-result market, while Newcastle are now available at 4.10 and the draw at 3.95. That is a notable easing in the away price, though not a reversal of the market hierarchy: Liverpool are still clear favourites. The 1-2 scoreline remains the best fit for an away side expected to edge the game rather than dominate it.

Lineup confirmation does not provide a decisive reason to overturn that view. Liverpool's listed starters include Alisson, Virgil van Dijk, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak and Rio Ngumoha. Newcastle's starters include Lukas Hornicek, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, Lewis Miley, Sean Steur, Anthony Elanga, Harvey Barnes, William Osula and Yoane Wissa. There are enough attacking names in both confirmed groups to maintain the expectation that Newcastle can contribute.

The supporting goal prices have also softened. BTTS Yes is out from 1.44 to 1.83, a meaningful move that signals reduced certainty around both sides scoring, while Over 2.5 has only edged from 1.47 to 1.52 and remains strongly favoured. Liverpool scored in all five listed recent matches, but their one win across that sequence explains why the away result is medium confidence rather than a stronger call. The cleaner match shape is still a narrow Liverpool win with goals at both ends.

Liverpool to win

Key reasons

  • Liverpool are the clear 1X2 favourites at a best available 1.95, while Newcastle and the draw are both priced at 4.00.
  • Newcastle scored in three of their final four home-or-away results listed, including consecutive 3-1 wins over West Ham United and Brighton & Hove Albion.
  • Liverpool scored in each of their last five listed matches, while both teams scored in four of those games.

Risk factors

  • Liverpool won only one of their last five listed fixtures, drawing twice and losing twice.
  • Newcastle's recent results include two 3-1 victories, giving the home side a credible route to upsetting the 1X2 market.
Newcastle United

Newcastle United

1 : 2

Liverpool

Liverpool
Liverpool to win
10Bet
Both teams to score: Yes
10Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
22Bet
Do you agree with my prediction?
Yes (0)No (0)

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AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Away
    12
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Away
    12

What Is Your Prediction?

Newcastle United
Liverpool

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See what others think 👇
Newcastle United to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Liverpool to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Premier League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
1
1
0
0
4
0
+4
3
2
ArsenalArsenal
1
1
0
0
3
0
+3
3
3
BrentfordBrentford
1
1
0
0
3
0
+3
3
4
Hull CityHull City
1
1
0
0
2
0
+2
3
5
EvertonEverton
1
1
0
0
2
0
+2
3
6
Manchester CityManchester City
1
1
0
0
2
1
+1
3
7
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
1
1
0
0
2
1
+1
3
8
Leeds UnitedLeeds United
1
1
0
0
1
0
+1
3
9
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
LiverpoolLiverpool
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
FulhamFulham
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
ChelseaChelsea
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
1
0
0
1
1
2
-1
0
14
SunderlandSunderland
1
0
0
1
1
2
-1
0
15
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
1
0
0
1
0
1
-1
0
16
Manchester UnitedManchester United
1
0
0
1
0
2
-2
0
17
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
1
0
0
1
0
2
-2
0
18
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
1
0
0
1
0
3
-3
0
19
Coventry CityCoventry City
1
0
0
1
0
3
-3
0
20
Aston VillaAston Villa
1
0
0
1
0
4
-4
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

0

0.0

Goals Conceded

0

0.0

Goals difference

0

Avg. goals per match

0.0

Last 5 Matches

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 24 May 2026

FulhamFulham

2

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United

0

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 17 May 2026

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United

3

West Ham UnitedWest Ham United

1

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 10 May 2026

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

1

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United

1

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 2 May 2026

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United

3

Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion

1

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 25 Apr 2026

ArsenalArsenal

1

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United

0

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Confirmed: 4-2-3-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Lukas Hornicek

🛡️Back line:

Amar Dedić, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall

⚙️ Midfield:

Sean Steur, Lewis Miley, Anthony Elanga, Yoane Wissa, Harvey Barnes

⚡ Attack:

William Osula

Liverpool

Liverpool

Confirmed: 4-2-3-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Alisson

🛡️Back line:

Jeremie Frimpong, Jérémy Jacquet, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez

⚙️ Midfield:

Dominik Szoboszlai, Ryan Gravenberch, Rio Ngumoha, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo

⚡ Attack:

Alexander Isak

Key Battles

⚔️Attack vs defence

Alexander Isak, Cody Gakpo and Rio Ngumoha lead Liverpool's listed attack against Newcastle starters Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall and Amar Dedić.,Midfield : Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai and Florian Wirtz face Newcastle's Lewis Miley and Sean Steur in a central contest that could shape territory.,Flanks: Jeremie Frimpong and Milos Kerkez provide Liverpool's wide defensive outlets against Newcastle attackers Anthony Elanga, Harvey Barnes and Yoane Wissa.

Best Odds

Newcastle United to win
22Bet
Draw
WilliamHill
Liverpool to win
10Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
22Bet
Under 2.5 Goals
bet365
Both teams to score: Yes
10Bet
Both teams to score: No
22Bet

What these Odds Say

👉

Liverpool have drifted from 1.95 to 2.20, indicating weaker late support, although they remain the clear 1X2 favourites.

👉

BTTS Yes has lengthened from 1.44 to 1.83, implying materially less market confidence in both teams finding the net.

👉

Over 2.5 goals has moved only from 1.47 to 1.52, so the market's expectation of a three-goal game is broadly stable.

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