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Serie A

•

Round 7

Roma

Roma

Finished

2 : 0

(HT 0 - 0)

17th Oct 2026, 14:45

Genoa

Genoa

WIN
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Roma vs Genoa Betting Tips, Odds & AI Predictions

Fact checker Janne Kouva

Calendar icon05 Oct 2026

Roma remain the clear result lean after an unbeaten start, although the home price has drifted from 1.29 to 1.57.

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Prediction

Roma remain the prediction for this Serie A meeting, with the 3-0 score lean unchanged. The supplied lineup feed contains starters but does not reliably assign them to either team, so it offers no usable team-specific late signal. Roma's best home price has drifted from 1.29 to 1.57, a softer but not decisive move. The underlying form case still points one way.

The original Roma win view stands. Roma are third with 14 points from six matches, unbeaten, with 14 goals scored and only three conceded. Genoa are 17th on four points, having won one, drawn one and lost four, while conceding 11 times. Recent results add support: Roma have drawn their last two but won the three league games before that, including 4-0 at Lecce. Genoa did beat Fiorentina last time out, yet their preceding four-match sequence brought three defeats and a draw.

There is no usable confirmed-lineup adjustment to make. Starters are present in the supplied feed, but every player is marked as belonging to an unknown team rather than Roma or Genoa. That prevents a reliable team-specific assessment and is not grounds to alter a published call. The prediction therefore remains Roma to win, with 3-0 still the single correct-score lean rather than a certainty.

The price has moved against the original short home quote: Roma are now available at 1.57 versus 1.29 previously. That is a meaningful softening in headline terms, but it remains below the stated threshold for treating the movement as decisive, and Roma are still clear favourites against Genoa at 8.00. BTTS No has edged from 1.75 to 1.80, which is broadly stable. Over 2.5 has drifted from 1.63 to 1.99, suggesting the market is less convinced Roma will create a high-scoring game alone. That makes the totals angle less straightforward, but not enough to dislodge the main result read.

Roma to win

Key reasons

  • Roma lead Serie A with 13 points from five matches, scoring 14 goals and conceding only three.
  • Roma have won four of their last five league games, including 4-0 victories over Lecce and Fiorentina.
  • Genoa sit 19th with one point from five matches and have lost four of those fixtures.

Risk factors

  • Roma's most recent league match ended 2-2 against Inter, showing that their defence has not been flawless.
  • Genoa scored in three of their last five matches, leaving a route to disrupt a clean-sheet angle.
Roma

Roma

3 : 0

Genoa

Genoa
Roma to win
Interwetten
Both teams to score: No
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Do you agree with my prediction?
Yes (0)No (0)

Match already started.

AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Home
    20
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Home
    30

What Is Your Prediction?

Roma
Genoa

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Roma to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Genoa to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Serie A Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
InterInter
7
6
1
0
21
9
+12
19
2
LazioLazio
7
6
1
0
14
4
+10
19
3
RomaRoma
7
5
2
0
16
3
+13
17
4
AC MilanAC Milan
7
4
3
0
14
7
+7
15
5
ComoComo
7
4
2
1
12
7
+5
14
6
FrosinoneFrosinone
7
4
1
2
13
9
+4
13
7
CagliariCagliari
6
4
1
1
6
3
+3
13
8
JuventusJuventus
7
3
2
2
9
8
+1
11
9
NapoliNapoli
7
3
1
3
10
7
+3
10
10
AtalantaAtalanta
7
3
0
4
10
11
-1
9
11
LecceLecce
7
3
0
4
9
12
-3
9
12
SassuoloSassuolo
7
2
2
3
12
14
-2
8
13
TorinoTorino
6
2
1
3
7
9
-2
7
14
BolognaBologna
7
1
2
4
6
10
-4
5
15
MonzaMonza
6
1
1
4
9
15
-6
4
16
ParmaParma
6
1
1
4
4
10
-6
4
17
UdineseUdinese
7
1
1
5
9
16
-7
4
18
GenoaGenoa
7
1
1
5
5
13
-8
4
19
FiorentinaFiorentina
7
1
1
5
8
17
-9
4
20
VeneziaVenezia
7
1
0
6
6
16
-10
3

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

16

2.3

Goals Conceded

3

0.4

Goals difference

+13

Avg. goals per match

2.7

Last 5 Matches

Serie ASerie A

FT, 11 Oct 2026

ComoComo

0

RomaRoma

0

Serie ASerie A

FT, 19 Sept 2026

RomaRoma

2

InterInter

2

Serie ASerie A

FT, 14 Sept 2026

TorinoTorino

0

RomaRoma

2

Serie ASerie A

FT, 5 Sept 2026

RomaRoma

2

AtalantaAtalanta

1

Serie ASerie A

FT, 31 Aug 2026

LecceLecce

0

RomaRoma

4

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

Roma

Roma

Confirmed: 3-4-2-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Pierluigi Gollini

🛡️Back line:

Leonardo Balerdi, Evan Ndicka, Konstantinos Koulierakis

⚙️ Midfield:

Emanuele Lulli, Marten de Roon, Niccolò Pisilli, Devyne Rensch

⚡ Attack:

Matías Soulé, Rodrigo Mora, Santiago Castro

Genoa

Genoa

Confirmed: 3-4-2-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Justin Bijlow

🛡️Back line:

Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez

⚙️ Midfield:

Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Samuel Wiafe, Morten Frendrup, David Puczka

⚡ Attack:

Junior Messias, Stephan El Shaarawy, Milutin Osmajic

Best Odds

Roma to win
Interwetten
Draw
Dafabet
Genoa to win
22Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
22Bet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Both teams to score: No
bet365

What these Odds Say

👉

Roma's best win price has drifted from 1.29 to 1.57, indicating weaker late support, though they remain clear favourites.

👉

BTTS No has moved only from 1.75 to 1.80, so the market's expectation of a Genoa blank is broadly stable.

👉

Over 2.5 goals has drifted from 1.63 to 1.99, implying reduced market confidence in a match clearing three goals.

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